Italy vs France Prediction: Top 3 Picks and Team News

The first meeting in Paris ended 1-1, and France now lead Group 1 with ten points, three ahead of Italy. Our Italy vs France prediction could therefore decide who finishes top. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Thursday 12 November 2026, in matchday five of the Nations League.

Italy vs France Prediction: Our Read on the Game

Italy have three wins, a draw and a defeat in their last five: 3-1 against Turkiye, 1-1 in Paris, 4-1 in Turkiye, 0-2 against Belgium and 1-0 in Greece. In addition, nine goals scored, five conceded. Moreover, for our Italy vs France prediction, it is worth remembering that Italy missed the World Cup after a play-off defeat. Also, the Nations League has given them a fresh start.

On top of that, France have three wins, a draw and a defeat in their last five: 4-1 against Belgium, 1-1 with Italy, 1-0 in Belgium, 1-0 in Turkiye and a 4-6 defeat to England in the World Cup third-place match. In addition, eleven goals for, eight against. Moreover, France are still unbeaten in this Nations League campaign.

Italy vs France: Stats at a Glance

Italy form: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5
France form: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5
Goals: Italy 9 scored and 5 conceded, France 11 scored and 8 conceded
Clean sheets: Italy 1, France 2
Over 2.5 goals: Italy 2 of 5, France 2 of 5
Both teams scored: Italy 3 of 5, France 3 of 5
Head-to-head: Italy 4 wins, 2 draws, France 6 wins (12 meetings per FotMob)

Kick-off Time, TV and Streaming

If you are following our Italy vs France analysis, note these times. On top of that, fans in Canada can tune in at 14:45 ET, while UK viewers get 19:45 GMT. In addition, in Nigeria the whistle goes at 20:45 WAT, in South Africa at 21:45 SAST, in Kenya at 22:45 EAT and in India at 01:15 (early next day) IST. Meanwhile, central Europe sees 20:45 CET. Moreover, the official start is 19:45 UTC at Italy's home venue (to be confirmed by UEFA) on Thursday 12 November 2026. Finally, check your local rights holder before you plan your viewing, because coverage differs by country.

History Between the Clubs

FotMob lists twelve meetings: six France wins, four for Italy and two draws. On top of that, the most recent was the 1-1 draw at the Stade de France in October.

Where It Could Be Decided: Italy's midfield vs France's attack

France have scored in all five recent games and Italy in four of theirs. In addition, both teams scored in three of each side's last five. Moreover, Italy will press higher at home, while France are dangerous on the counter with their pace up front.

How the Game Should Unfold

Italy will take the initiative at home and France will wait for chances. On top of that, given the 1-1 first meeting and how evenly matched they are, our Italy vs France tips expects a close game. In addition, three of each side's last five stayed under 2.5 goals.

Team News

Both squads are usually announced about a week before the international window. Also, no injuries are confirmed for this game yet. Moreover, the venue has not been confirmed in our sources either, so check UEFA's official site for squads and stadium.

Italy vs France: Best Bets

Both teams to score is our main play in this Italy vs France prediction: the first meeting finished 1-1. Also, France have scored in all five recent games. On top of that, France double chance is the value angle, since they are unbeaten in the Nations League. For a bigger price, the draw is worth considering.

Main tip: Both teams to score
Value tip: France double chance (win or draw)
Bonus tip: Draw
Predicted score: Italy 1-1 France

Italy vs France: Final Pick

This is the bet we like most:

Pick: Both teams to score

The Bottom Line

Altogether, these teams are very close, and the first meeting showed it. Our Italy vs France prediction is a tight game with goals at both ends. For more analysis, also read our Spain vs England preview and our England vs Croatia preview. Also, check the latest standings on the official Nations League website.